INVESTMENT-GRADE DEBT ROSE AGAINST high yield bonds in net prices linked to actual trades following weak GDP data from China revealing the country’s second-quarter growth rate fell to a 27-year low. In June retail sales and industrial production figures exceeded estimates relieving investor sentiment. S&P +0.02%, DOW +0.10, NASDAQ +0.17% The 10-year note dipped 3.5 basis points.
CITIGROUP BEATS PROFIT ESTIMATES setting a precedent for the other major banks scheduled to report later in the week. Consumer lending
boosted profits during the second quarter countering soft trading revenue. In a statement, Michael Corbat CEO of Citigroup stated,
“We navigated an uncertain environment successfully by executing our strategy, and by showing disciplined expense, credit and risk management”. The market awaits two key reports to be released this week, June retail sales figures on Tuesday and June housing starts on Wednesday.
ADI proprietary index data showed a net
yield increment for high-yield versus high-grade bonds. High-grade edged out high-yield. Among high-grade bonds showing topmost price gains at appreciable volumes traded,
Broadcom Corp. (USD) 3.875% 1/15/2027 made analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for
ADI indices above.)
Corey Mahoney (
cmahoney@advantagedata.com).
| Key Gainers and Losers |
Volume Leaders |
| + |
Hilton Domestic Operating Co. 4.875% 1/15/2030 144A |
+ 0.2% |
| |
Tenet Healthcare Corp. 8.125% 4/1/2022 |
+ 0.2% |
| - |
Discover Financial Services VAR% PERP |
-1.9% |
|
Masonite Intl. Corp. 5.375% 2/1/2028 144A
Petrobras Global Finance BV 6.85% 6/5/2115
|
| Industry Returns Tracker |
| Industry |
Past Day |
Past Week |
Past Month |
Past Quarter |
YTD |
Past Year |
| Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing |
-0.17% |
-0.34% |
4.62% |
4.79% |
11.70% |
13.51% |
| Mining |
0.01% |
-0.44% |
0.75% |
-2.09% |
7.91% |
2.43% |
| Construction |
-0.13% |
0.01% |
1.34% |
3.00% |
11.26% |
9.28% |
| Manufacturing |
-0.02% |
-0.19% |
1.08% |
1.69% |
9.08% |
7.34% |
| Transportion, Communication, Electric/Gas |
-0.03% |
-0.13% |
1.57% |
2.73% |
10.23% |
8.72% |
| Wholesale |
0.08% |
-0.06% |
1.42% |
2.71% |
10.52% |
7.69% |
| Retail |
0.01% |
-0.33% |
0.78% |
3.41% |
12.60% |
9.80% |
| Finance, Insurance, Real-Estate |
-0.02% |
-0.04% |
1.44% |
2.50% |
10.15% |
9.00% |
| Services |
-0.04% |
-0.11% |
0.83% |
1.97% |
9.88% |
8.68% |
| Public Administration |
0.32% |
0.23% |
1.97% |
4.33% |
10.33% |
13.74% |
| Energy |
-0.01% |
-0.51% |
0.79% |
-1.44% |
8.10% |
2.89% |
| |
| Total returns (non-annualized) by rating, market weighted. |
|
| New Issues |
Forward Calendar |
|
(None Current 07/15/2019)
|
1. Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc.: $2.55B, seven-year senior secured notes; $2.325B eight year senior unsecured notes
2. General Electric Distributed Power: $600M high-yield bonds, Expected Q3 2019
|
Additional Commentary
NEW ISSUANCE WATCH: on 7/12/19 participants welcome a $600MM new corporate-bond offering by Horizon Pharma Inc. The most recent data showed money flowed out of high-yield ETFs/mutual funds for the week ended 6/21/19, with a net outflow of $602MM, year-to-date $8.9B flowed into high-yield.
| Top Widening Credit Default Swaps (CDS) |
Top Narrowing Credit Default Swaps (CDS) |
Hertz Corp. (5Y Sen USD XR14)
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (5Y Sen USD MR14) |
SuperValu Inc. (5Y Sen USD MR14) |
Loans and Credit Market Overview
SYNDICATED LOANS HIGHLIGHTS:
Deals recently freed for secondary trading, notable secondary activity:
- Consolidated Precision Products, Starwood Property Trust Inc., Heritage Power, LLC
Long-term bond yields are expected to hit a cyclical peak in 2019 given tight fiscal policy and lagging global economies. Europe remains checked by stubbornly low inflationary forces. Positive effects remained in force:
- TED spread held below 19 bp (basis points), as of 07/12/19
- Net positive capital flows into high-yield ETFs & mutual funds
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