INVESTORS ANXIOUSLY AWAIT for the Fed to announce a decision on interest rates following Wednesday’s meeting. The market expects a rate cut of 25 basis points with a potential cut of 50 basis points. Former Fed Chair Janet Yellen stated she endorses a 25 basis point cut, “The global economy has weakened. I think partly it’s weakened because of conflicts over trade and the uncertainty that’s caused for businesses.” Traders have reportedly priced in a 70 basis point rate cut by the end of 2019. ADI proprietary index data showed a net yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield bonds. High-yield edged out high-grade. Among high-yield bonds showing topmost price gains at appreciable volumes traded, Cox Communications Inc. (USD) 8.375% 3/1/2039 made analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for ADI bonds below.) Corey Mahoney
Key Gainers and Losers | Volume Leaders | |||||||||
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Sprint Nextel Corp. 7.875% 9/15/2023 Teva Pharmaceutical Industries LTD 4.1% 10/1/2046 |
Industry Returns Tracker | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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New Issues | Forward Calendar |
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1. Walnut Bidco PLC (USD) 9.125% 8/1/2024 144A (07/29/2019):335MM Secured Notes, Price at Issuance 100, Yielding 9.13%. 2. Walnut Bidco PLC (USD) 9.125% 8/1/2024 Reg S (07/29/2019):335MM Secured Notes, Price at Issuance 100, Yielding 9.13%. |
1. Twinset Spa: ¬170M 5 year senior secured floating-rate notes, Expected Q3 2019 |
Additional Commentary
Select Medical Corp. The most recent data showed money flowed out of high-yield ETFs/mutual funds for the week ended 7/26/19, with a net inflow of $1.3B, Seven week total $9.0B flowed into high-yield.
Top Widening Credit Default Swaps (CDS) | Top Narrowing Credit Default Swaps (CDS) |
Weatherford International LTD (5Y Sen USD XR14) Hertz Corp. (5Y Sen USD CR14) |
San Miguel Corp. (5Y Sen USD CR14) Atmos Energy Corp. (5Y Sen USD MR14) |
Loans and Credit Market Overview
Deals recently freed for secondary trading, notable secondary activity:
- AIR Comm Corp. LLC, Nascar Holdings Inc., NGPL Pipeco LLC, Whatabrands LLC
- TED spread held below 15 bp (basis points), as of 07/29/19
- Net positive capital flows into high-yield ETFs & mutual funds
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