INVESTMENT GRADE DEBT ROSE AGAINST JUNK BONDS in net prices linked to actual trades. Car sales are expected to slump in July as increased costs drove prices higher preventing Americans from signing on the dotted line. Sales are expected to dip by 1.8 percent. Despite the recent slowdown auto dealers are not concerned, “While trade risk remains a threat, transaction prices continue to rise and economic growth is moderating, sales in the second half of the year could outperform expectations.” The 10-year note lost 0.8 basis points. S&P -0.18%, DOW +0.11%, NASDAQ -0.45%.
INVESTORS ANXIOUSLY AWAIT for the Fed to announce a decision on interest rates following Wednesday’s meeting. The market expects a rate cut of 25 basis points with a potential cut of 50 basis points. Former Fed Chair Janet Yellen stated she endorses a 25 basis point cut, “The global economy has weakened. I think partly it’s weakened because of conflicts over trade and the uncertainty that’s caused for businesses.” Traders have reportedly priced in a 70 basis point rate cut by the end of 2019. ADI proprietary index data showed a net yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield bonds. High-yield edged out high-grade. Among high-yield bonds showing topmost price gains at appreciable volumes traded, Cox Communications Inc. (USD) 8.375% 3/1/2039 made analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for Cox Communications Inc. below.) Corey Mahoney
Key Gainers and Losers | Volume Leaders | |||||||||
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CVS Health Corp. 5.05% 3/25/2048 Mylan Inc. 5.25% 6/15/2046 |
Industry Returns Tracker | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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New Issues | New Issues [Continued] |
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1. Essex Portfolio LP (USD) 3% 1/15/2030 (07/29/2019): 400MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 98.632, Yielding 3.15%. 2. Union Pacific Corp. (USD) 3.95% 8/15/2059 (07/29/2019): 500MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.203, Yielding 3.99%. |
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Additional Commentary
Top Widening Credit Default Swaps (CDS) | Top Narrowing Credit Default Swaps (CDS) |
Weatherford International LTD (5Y Sen USD XR14) Hertz Corp. (5Y Sen USD CR14) |
SuperValu Inc. (5Y Sen USD XR14) Atmos Energy Corp. (5Y Sen USD MR14) |
Loans and Credit Market Overview
SYNDICATED LOANS HIGHLIGHTS:Deals recently freed for secondary trading, notable secondary activity:
- AIR Comm Corp. LLC, Nascar Holdings Inc., NGPL Pipeco LLC, Whatabrands LLC
- TED spread held below 15 bp (basis points), as of 07/29/19
- Net positive capital flows into high-yield ETFs & mutual funds
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