The TTM U.S. institutional leveraged loan default rate is at 1.7%, down from 1.9% at end-July, marking what Fitch Ratings believes is a trough in the default rate. Fitch expects the default rate will end the year around 2.5%.
"Loan defaults are at a temporary stand-still right now, but a handful of bankruptcies/restructurings are expected shortly," said Eric Rosenthal, Senior Director of Leveraged Finance. "The energy and retail sectors still have a big presence, contributing nearly 60% to the trailing 12-month default volume." The sector default rates for energy and retail stood at 17.4% and 5.4%, respectively, at the end of July.