European Bond Research - August 5, 2019

Posted by Corey Mahoney on Aug 5, 2019 12:45:17 PM
EUROPEAN EQUITIES CONTINUE TO TUMBLE ON MONDAY as the Chinese yuan breached the critical 7 per dollar level for the first time in a decade. “The fact that they have now stopped defending 7.00 against the dollar suggests that they have all but abandoned hopes for a trade deal with the U.S.”Analysts suspect China is controlling its currency as retaliation for recent plans by the US to hike tariffs an additional 10 percent. FTSE 100 -2.71%, German DAX -1.93%, CAC 40 -2.27%, STOXX Europe 600-2.43%.  The 10-year Gilt lost 3.6 basis points.
 

unnamed - 2019-08-01T152128.640


EURO ZONE BUSINESS GROWTH DETERIORATED IN JULY falling to 51.5 closing in on the 50 mark, a pivotal indication of a contracting economy. The service sector continued to sustain the expansion of the overall eurozone economy at the start of the third quarter, but there are signs that the scale of the manufacturing downturn is starting to overwhelm.” Investor confidence in August slips to five-year lows in the euro area falling to -13.7. ADI (Advantage Data Inc.).  Extensive corporate-bond index data showed a net daily yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield constituents. High-grade bonds edged out high-yield debt as of 3 PM, London time.  Among European high-grade bonds showing a concurrence of top price gains at appreciable volumes traded, AstraZeneca PLC (USD) 6.45% 9/15/2037  made some analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for  AstraZeneca PLC bonds  below). Corey Mahoney
 

 

Credit-Default Swap Market


LATEST NEWS: Top moves, sovereign tighteners (5Y): Italy 172 bp and France 20 bp. Sovereign wideners (5Y): Spain 41 bp and UK 34 bp.

unnamed - 2019-08-05T124416.015

New Issuance


New Issues New Issues [Continued]

1. Nordea Bank AB (NOK) FLT% 8/12/2022 (08/05/2019): 1400MM Senior Unsecured Notes.

 

ADI Indexes


unnamed - 2019-08-01T152132.872

DATA CHECK:
iShares Core EUR UCITS iShares Euro High Yield UCITS
NAV as of 08/05/2019, 134.65 NAV as of 08/05/2019, 104.5
Daily NAV Change (%) -0.11% Daily NAV Change (%) -0.37%

OVERALL EUROPEAN CREDIT MARKET:
The euro-zone economy shows signs of positive momentum, although conditions are expected to deteriorate hindered by the termination of quantitative easing, weakening credit rating quality, and uncertainty regarding the outcome of Brexit. Closely watched indicators and rates:
  • Eurostat's unemployment ratecurrently 7.5% (seasonally adjusted, May 2019)
  • Eurostat's quarterly GDP: 0.4% (2019 Q1)
  • 6-month Euribor: current value -0.367%, as of 08/02/2019

Copyright 2019 Advantage Data Inc. All Rights Reserved. http://www.advantagedata.com

Information in this document should not be regarded as an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy bonds or any financial instruments referred to herein. All information provided in this document is believed to be accurate. However, Advantage Data and its sources make no warranties, either express or implied, as to any matter whatsoever, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. Opinions in this document are subject to change without notice. Electronic redistribution, photocopying and any other electronic or mechanical reproduction is strictly prohibited without prior written permission from Advantage Data Inc.

Topics: Analytics, bonds, junk bonds, bond market, corporate bonds, market analytics, New Issues, News, research, EU, market update, European


Are you using AdvantageData?

AdvantageData is your fixed income solution for pricing, analytics, reports, and insight on approximately:

  • 500,000+ U.S. and international corporate bonds
  • Over 6,200+ CDS reference entities
  • Over 22,000+ syndicated loans
  • Over 100 equity markets worldwide
  • One platform 16 products and services from debt to CDS to loans to mid-market
  • Used by top buy and sell-side firms worldwide

Subscribe to Email Updates

Recent Posts