European Bond Research - July 11, 2019

Posted by Corey Mahoney on Jul 11, 2019 12:10:24 PM
GERMAN INFLATION TICKED HIGHER moving closer to the European Central Banks target coming in at 1.5 percent in June.  Inflation across the euro zone has lagged behind the ECB’s target for years; Germany’s data is uplifting for the economy despite the ECB lowering growth estimates across the bloc.  Crude oil continues to climb amid a tightening supply and draws from stockpiles globally. FTSE 100 -0.35%, German DAX -0.45%, CAC 40 -0.23%, STOXX Europe 600 -0.18%.  The 10-year Gilt advanced 8.1 basis points.  

unnamed - 2019-07-08T161732.486


EUROPEAN SHARES INITIALLY RISE following dovish remarks from the US Federal Reserve suggesting a rate cut later this month.  The Bank of England announced British banks are prepared for a no-deal Brexit holding enough capital to weather the storm but expect significant economic turmoil.  “In a disorderly Brexit, a range of UK asset prices would be expected to adjust sharply, tightening financial conditions for UK households and businesses.”   France approves a 3 percent tax targeting French revenues from technology giants including Google, Amazon, and Facebook.  The tax is estimated to generate upwards of 750 million euros from thirty companies globally. ADI (Advantage Data Inc.). Extensive corporate-bond index data showed a net daily yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield constituents. High-grade bonds edged out high-yield debt as of 3 PM, London time.  Among European high-grade bonds showing a concurrence of top price gains at appreciable volumes traded,  Actavis Funding SCS (USD) 3.45% 3/15/2022 made some analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for Actavis Funding SCS below). Corey Mahoney (cmahoney@advantagedata.com).
 

Credit-Default Swap Market


LATEST NEWS: Top moves, sovereign tighteners (5Y): UK 29 bp and France 22 bp. Sovereign wideners (5Y): Italy 167 bp and Spain 38 bp.

unnamed - 2019-07-11T120841.886

New Issuance


New Issues New Issues [Continued]

1. Westlake Chemical Corp. (EUR) 1.625% 7/17/2029 (07/10/2019):700MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.498, Yielding 1.68%.

2. Banco de Sabadell SA (EUR) 0.875% 7/22/2025 Reg S (07/10/2019): 1000MM Senior Preferred Security, Price at Issuance 99.826, Yielding .905%.

 

ADI Indexes


unnamed - 2019-07-08T161746.062

DATA CHECK:
iShares Core EUR UCITS iShares Euro High Yield UCITS
NAV as of 07/11/2019, 133.46 NAV as of 07/11/2019, 105.42
Daily NAV Change (-0.02%)    Daily NAV Change (%) +0.02%

OVERALL EUROPEAN CREDIT MARKET:
The euro-zone economy shows signs of positive momentum, although conditions are expected to deteriorate hindered by the termination of quantitative easing, weakening credit rating quality, and uncertainty regarding the outcome of Brexit. Closely watched indicators and rates:
  • Eurostat's unemployment ratecurrently 7.5% (seasonally adjusted, May2019)
  • Eurostat's quarterly GDP: 0.4% (2019 Q1)
  • 6-month Euribor: current value -0.329%, as of 07/10/2019

Copyright 2019 Advantage Data Inc. All Rights Reserved. http://www.advantagedata.com

Information in this document should not be regarded as an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy bonds or any financial instruments referred to herein. All information provided in this document is believed to be accurate. However, Advantage Data and its sources make no warranties, either express or implied, as to any matter whatsoever, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. Opinions in this document are subject to change without notice. Electronic redistribution, photocopying and any other electronic or mechanical reproduction is strictly prohibited without prior written permission from Advantage Data Inc.

Topics: Analytics, bonds, junk bonds, bond market, corporate bonds, market analytics, New Issues, News, research, EU, market update, European


Are you using AdvantageData?

AdvantageData is your fixed income solution for pricing, analytics, reports, and insight on approximately:

  • 500,000+ U.S. and international corporate bonds
  • Over 6,200+ CDS reference entities
  • Over 22,000+ syndicated loans
  • Over 100 equity markets worldwide
  • One platform 16 products and services from debt to CDS to loans to mid-market
  • Used by top buy and sell-side firms worldwide

Subscribe to Email Updates

Recent Posts