Investment Grade Bond Research - July 31, 2019

Posted by Andrew Robartes on Aug 1, 2019 4:04:37 PM
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US STOCKS FELL TODAY AFTER the Federal Reserve announced it will cut interest rates for the first time since 2008. According to Jerome Powell, the 25 basis point cut is a ‘mid-cycle adjustment’ and future cuts may not be necessary. He added that it will provide insurance against global economic risks and boost inflation. The 10-year note lost 4.2 basis points. S&P -1.09%, DOW -1.23%, NASDAQ -1.19%.

unnamed - 2019-08-01T153113.052

IN THE CORPORATE BOND SPACE, Las Vegas Sands Corp. recently announced its pricing of $3.5 billion in senior notes. The notes are broken up into 3 separate tranches yielding 3.2% due 2024, 3.5% due 2026, and 3.9% due 2029. The casino and resort company will use the proceeds to repay outstanding term loans and for general corporate purposes. ADI proprietary index data showed a net yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield bondsHigh-grade edged out high-yield.  Among high-grade bonds showing topmost price gains at appreciable volumes traded, Comcast Corp (USD) 6.5% 11/15/2035 made analysts' 'Conviction Buy' lists. (See the chart for Comcast Corp below.) Andrew Robartes 

Key Gainers and Losers Volume Leaders
+   CVS Health Corp. 2.8% 7/20/2020 + 0.0%
  Microsoft Corp. 3.7% 8/8/2046 + 1.5%
-   General Electric Co. FLT% PERP (1) -0.1%
  Vodafone Group PLC 3.75% 1/16/2024 -0.2%
CVS Health Corp.   5.05% 3/25/2048
General Electric Co.   FLT% PERP (1)
Industry Returns Tracker
Industry Past Day Past Week Past Month Past Quarter YTD Past Year
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing -0.11% -0.11% -0.55% 2.86% 8.39% 8.59%
Mining -0.11% -0.08% -0.07% 2.93% 9.50% 8.59%
Construction -0.04% 0.25% 0.61% 3.86% 7.96% 8.76%
Manufacturing -0.07% 0.04% 0.27% 3.64% 8.08% 7.78%
Transportion, Communication, Electric/Gas -0.06% 0.16% 0.40% 4.48% 10.15% 10.27%
Wholesale -0.11% 0.01% 0.31% 3.42% 9.12% 8.49%
Retail -0.10% 0.02% 0.13% 3.77% 8.54% 8.68%
Finance, Insurance, Real-Estate -0.04% 0.05% 0.22% 2.82% 6.87% 7.81%
Services -0.15% -0.04% 0.04% 3.62% 7.85% 8.55%
Public Administration 0.01% 0.01% -0.03% 1.71% 3.27% 5.07%
Energy -0.11% -0.06% -0.06% 3.02% 9.71% 8.80%
 
Total returns (non-annualized) by rating, market weighted.

unnamed - 2019-08-01T160325.613

New Issues New Issues [Continued]

1. Las Vegas Sands Corp. (USD) 3.9% 8/8/2029 (07/30/2019):750MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.712, Yielding 3.93%.

2. Honeywell Intl. Inc. (USD) 2.15% 8/8/2022 (07/30/2019): 600MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.899, Yielding 2.18%.

 

Additional Commentary


NEW ISSUANCE WATCH: on 7/30/19 participants welcome $750 million in  new corporate-bond offerings by
Las Vegas Sands Corp. The most recent data showed money flowed out of high-yield ETFs/mutual funds for the week ended 7/26/19, with a net inflow of $1.3B, Seven week total $9.0B flowed into high-yield. 
 
Top Widening Credit Default Swaps (CDS) Top Narrowing Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
Hertz Corp. (5Y Sen USD CR14)
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (5Y Sen USD MR14)
Cable & Wireless Communication (5Y Sen USD CR14)
Atmos Energy Corp. (5Y Sen USD MR14)

unnamed - 2019-08-01T153123.074

Loans and Credit Market Overview


SYNDICATED LOANS HIGHLIGHTS:

Deals recently freed for secondary trading, notable secondary activity:
  • Maxamcorp Holding SL, PLZ Aeroscience Corp., AIR Comm Corp. LLC, Nascar Holdings Inc.
OVERALL CREDIT MARKET:Long-term bond yields are expected to hit a cyclical peak in 2019 given tight fiscal policy and lagging global economies. Europe remains checked by stubbornly low inflationary forces.  Positive effects remained in force:
  • TED spread held below 19 bp (basis points), as of 07/31/19
  • Net positive capital flows into high-yield ETFs & mutual funds

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Topics: High Yield, Investment Grade, Loans, Analytics, bonds, junk bonds, bond market, market analytics, New Issues, Finance, Fixed Income, News, Syndicated Bonds, syndicated, research, market update


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