Investment Grade Bond Research - October 22, 2019

Posted by Andrew Robartes on Oct 22, 2019 5:14:36 PM
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US STOCKS FELL SLIGHTLY TODAY amid European headlines regarding Brexit. Additionally, McDonald’s missed earnings expectations in a mixed third quarter and saw shares dip 5%. The 10-year Treasury note declined 3.7 bps. S&P -0.36%, DOW -0.15%, NASDAQ -0.72%

unnamed - 2019-09-09T165400.694

IN THE CORPORATE BOND SPACE, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) priced $2 billion worth of senior unsecured notes due in 2030. The American streaming service will use the proceeds from these junk-rated bonds to finance new content, and potential acquisitions. ADI proprietary index data showed a net yield increment for high-grade versus high-yield bondsHigh-grade edged out high-yield. Among high-grade bonds showing topmost price gains at appreciable volumes traded, Ford Motor Co. (USD) 4.346% 12/8/2026 made analysts' 'Conviction Buy' list. (See the chart above for Ford Motor Co. below) Andrew Robartes

Key Gainers and Losers Volume Leaders
+   CVS Health Corp. 4.3% 3/25/2028 + 0.1%
  Altria Group Inc. 5.95% 2/14/2049 + 0.2%
-   Southern Copper Corp. 3.875% 4/23/2025 -0.3%
  AT&T Inc. 4.35% 3/1/2029 -0.2%
Molson Coors Brewing Co.   4.2% 7/15/2046
Southern Copper Corp.   3.875% 4/23/2025
Industry Returns Tracker
Industry Past Day Past Week Past Month Past Quarter YTD Past Year
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing -0.10% -0.01% 0.34% 1.01% 5.46% 6.36%
Mining -0.16% -0.03% -0.38% 2.24% 11.54% 11.82%
Construction -0.12% -0.10% 0.40% 2.23% 9.39% 10.41%
Manufacturing -0.15% 0.11% 0.23% 2.81% 10.74% 11.42%
Transportion, Communication, Electric/Gas -0.22% 0.03% 0.06% 3.37% 13.53% 15.04%
Wholesale -0.15% 0.26% 0.39% 2.68% 12.20% 11.98%
Retail -0.17% 0.21% 0.30% 3.44% 12.16% 13.18%
Finance, Insurance, Real-Estate -0.10% 0.14% 0.33% 2.31% 9.51% 10.73%
Services -0.16% 0.17% 0.38% 2.98% 10.68% 12.21%
Public Administration -0.12% 0.01% 0.18% 1.32% 4.70% 6.91%
Energy -0.18% 0.00% -0.41% 2.19% 11.92% 11.99%
 
Total returns (non-annualized) by rating, market weighted.

unnamed - 2019-10-22T171237.431

New Issues New Issues [Continued]

1. Royal Bank of Canada (USD) 2.25% 11/1/2024 (10/21/2019): 1500MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.778, Yielding 2.3%.

2. Delta Airlines (USD) 3.75% 10/28/2029 (10/21/2019): 600MM Senior Unsecured Notes, Price at Issuance 99.595, Yielding 3.8%.

 

Additional Commentary


NEW ISSUANCE WATCH: on 10/21/19 participants welcome a $750MM new corporate-bond offering by
United Rentals Inc. The most recent data showed a money flowed out of highyoutflow ETF/mutual funds for the week ended 9/27/2019, with a net outflow of $258 million.
 
Top Widening Credit Default Swaps (CDS) Top Narrowing Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
Rite Aid Corp. (5Y Sen USD XR14)
Weatherford International LTD (5Y Sen USD MR14)
Cable & Wireless Communication (5Y Sen USD CR14)
SuperValu Inc. (5Y Sen USD MR14)

unnamed - 2019-09-09T165404.526

Loans and Credit Market Overview


SYNDICATED LOANS HIGHLIGHTS:

Deals recently freed for secondary trading, notable secondary activity:
  • McDermott International Inc., Live Nation Entertainment Inc., Berry Plastics Corp. 
OVERALL CREDIT MARKET:

Long-term bond yields are expected to hit a cyclical peak in 2019 given tight fiscal policy and lagging global economies. Europe remains checked by stubbornly low inflationary forces.  
Positive effects remained in force:
  • TED spread held below 28bp (basis points), as of 10/22/19
  • Net positive capital flows into high-yield ETFs & mutual funds

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Topics: High Yield, Investment Grade, Loans, Analytics, bonds, junk bonds, bond market, market analytics, New Issues, Finance, Fixed Income, News, Syndicated Bonds, syndicated, research, market update


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